No end in sight to Macau slump as analysts cut estimates

As the first quarter comes to a close, there seems to be little reprieve for Macau’s battered casino stocks, with analysts continuing to cut estimates on the back of weak Chinese New Year revenue and an ongoing stream of negative news. Although the February fall in gross gaming revenue was the worst on record at almost 49 percent, it wasn’t as bad as some had been expecting. Still the consensus is that the market has not reached a bottom as yet. Comments from both analysts and operators continue to reflect longer-term optimism, but agree there remains little near-term visibility. “February was very weak especially given Chinese New Year and a lot of analysts are revisiting their forecasts,” said Alex Bumazhny, an analyst at Fitch Ratings, which this week predicted a 4 percent decline for 2015 GGR. “The market is banking on a slow down in premium mass and on the whole...

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